What Tottenham and Arsenal’s results mean for the European places

All the Europa League and Europa Conference League permutations heading into the final day

Sloppy Spurs slip up

The return of fans to stadiums was unable to lift a turgid Tottenham side, who slipped to a 2-1 defeat to Aston Villa. An early goal for Steven Bergwijn set Spurs off on the perfect footing, but they failed to capitalise on it and allowed Aston Villa back into the encounter.

Villa’s pressure threatened to punish Spurs, and ultimately Tottenham left-back Sergio Reguilon was the chief suspect in ensuring that it did. First, he sliced a bizarre own goal past a flat-footed Hugo Lloris, before he gave the ball away twice in the same passage of play to allow Ollie Watkins to fire Villa into the lead.

Spurs never really threatened to get back into the game, failing to string together anything of note in front of an increasingly frustrated crowd. Their loss has blown the race for the last two European places (One Europa League spot and one UEFA Conference League spot) wide open, with four sides set to fight it out for the right to play European football next season.

Meanwhile, Arsenal looked comfortable in their game against Crystal Palace and took the lead through Nicolas Pepe in the first half. However, Christian Benteke, who was perhaps lucky to still be on the pitch, equalised for the Eagles in Roy Hodgson’s last home game.

However, the fairy-tale send-off was ruined by substitute Gabriel Martinelli, who turned in a Martin Odegaard cross to restore Arsenal’s lead, before a second from Nicolas Pepe in the dying seconds put the result beyond doubt.

West Ham:

If West Ham avoid defeat against Southampton, they will be guaranteed a place in next season’s Europa League. Equally, if both Tottenham and Everton fail to win their games, the Hammers will remain in the qualification spot.

All the Europa League and Europa Conference League permutations heading into the final day

LONDON, ENGLAND – APRIL 29: David Moyes, Manager of West Ham United looks on prior to the Premier League match between West Ham United and Manchester City at London Stadium on April 29, 2018 in London, England. (Photo by Michael Regan/Getty Images)

Were West Ham to lose, they would need Spurs to drop points against Leicester. If Everton win and West Ham lose, anything less than a 9 goal swing will get the Hammers into Europe’s B competition.

To drop into the Europa Conference League, West Ham would need to lose their game and Tottenham to win theirs. However, the Hammers remain in the driving seat,


Arsenal are the only one of the four sides that cannot qualify for the Europa League. To make it into the Europa Conference League, they would require Tottenham to drop points to Leicester City and Everton to drop points to Manchester City, both of which seem possible. Were this to happen and Arsenal to win their game, they would find themselves playing in UEFA’s C competition next season.

All the Europa League and Europa Conference League permutations heading into the final day

LONDON, ENGLAND – MAY 06: Mikel Arteta, Manager of Arsenal reacts during the UEFA Europa League Semi-final Second Leg match between Arsenal and Villareal CF at Emirates Stadium on May 06, 2021 in London, England. Sporting stadiums around Europe remain under strict restrictions due to the Coronavirus Pandemic as Government social distancing laws prohibit fans inside venues resulting in games being played behind closed doors. (Photo by Pedro Salado/Quality Sport Images/Getty Images)


Tottenham go into their final game (away to Leicester City) knowing that they will need to win, and hope that West Ham lose, in order to stand any chance of making the Europa League places. A superior goal difference to both Everton and the Hammers means that were they to finish level on points, it would be Spurs that went into the Europa League.

All the Europa League and Europa Conference League permutations heading into the final day

LONDON, ENGLAND – NOVEMBER 26: Harry Kane of Tottenham Hotspur during the UEFA Champions League group B match between Tottenham Hotspur and Olympiacos FC at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on November 26, 2019 in London, United Kingdom. (Photo by Visionhaus)

To qualify for the Conference League, they must equal Everton’s result and at least match whatever result Arsenal get against Brighton.


Travelling to Manchester City, Everton are extreme longshots in this race. To qualify for the Europa League, they will need to beat Manchester City and have West Ham and Spurs to lose, whilst finding a 9 goal swing between them and the Hammers.

All the Europa League and Europa Conference League permutations heading into the final day

LIVERPOOL, ENGLAND – DECEMBER 21: Carlo Ancelotti, Manager of Everton is seen in the stands prior to the Premier League match between Everton FC and Arsenal FC at Goodison Park on December 21, 2019 in Liverpool, United Kingdom. (Photo by Alex Livesey/Getty Images)

To gain qualification to the Conference League, they would need to better Tottenham’s results and match whatever the Gunners get against Brighton. A tough ask against the champions.

However the final day pans out, it is set up to be a fascinating episode to end a hectic season.

Read more:

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This article was edited by
Tom Canton.

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Premier League table

# Team MP D P
1 Manchester City FC 37 46 83
2 Manchester United FC 37 28 71
3 Chelsea FC 37 23 67
4 Leicester City FC 37 20 66
5 Liverpool FC 36 21 63
6 Tottenham Hotspur FC 36 22 59
7 West Ham United FC 36 10 59
8 Leeds United 37 6 56
9 Everton FC 36 3 56
10 Arsenal FC 36 12 55
11 Aston Villa FC 36 7 49
12 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 36 -14 45
13 Crystal Palace FC 36 -21 44
14 Southampton FC 37 -18 43
15 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 37 -4 41
16 Burnley FC 36 -18 39
17 Newcastle United FC 36 -19 39
18 Fulham FC 37 -24 28
19 West Bromwich Albion 36 -37 26
20 Sheffield United FC 36 -43 20
Player Team Goals
Kane, Harry Tottenham Hotspur FC 22
Salah, Mohamed Liverpool FC 22
Fernandes, Bruno Manchester United FC 17
Son, Heung Min Tottenham Hotspur FC 17
Bamford, Patrick Leeds United 16
Calvert-Lewin, Dominic Everton FC 16
Watkins, Ollie Aston Villa FC 14
Vardy, Jamie Leicester City FC 13
Gundogan, Ilkay Manchester City FC 13
Lacazette, Alexandre Arsenal FC 13
Wilson, Callum Newcastle United FC 12
Ings, Danny Southampton FC 12
Wood, Chris Burnley FC 12
Iheanacho, Kelechi Leicester City FC 12
Rashford, Marcus Manchester United FC 11
Pereira, Matheus West Bromwich Albion 11
Zaha, Wilfried Crystal Palace FC 11
Sterling, Raheem Manchester City FC 10
Antonio, Michail West Ham United FC 10
Cavani, Edinson Manchester United FC 10

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